Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.531830 0.614688 0.705332 0.811735 0.933098 1.067087 1.226110
2025-06-22 0.378255 0.487077 0.618401 0.788002 1.000649 1.257817 1.591746
2025-06-29 0.292770 0.408171 0.557787 0.764828 1.042608 1.400939 1.896536
2025-07-06 0.237067 0.353071 0.512651 0.746359 1.077687 1.527959 2.183055
2025-07-13 0.206427 0.325441 0.497704 0.762479 1.155791 1.714259 2.561933
2025-07-20 0.188441 0.312459 0.500210 0.801305 1.267178 1.954351 3.036286
2025-07-27 0.170525 0.296325 0.494859 0.825948 1.357733 2.169851 3.491758
2025-08-03 0.152290 0.276671 0.480830 0.834061 1.421608 2.348402 3.904283
2025-08-10 0.134945 0.255806 0.461756 0.830746 1.465125 2.496719 4.279391
2025-08-17 0.119075 0.235157 0.440203 0.820044 1.493946 2.621901 4.625140
2025-08-24 0.105801 0.217307 0.421155 0.810969 1.523500 2.749072 4.982453
2025-08-31 0.092147 0.196781 0.394676 0.785147 1.520076 2.818325 5.244296
2025-09-07 0.088997 0.196795 0.406949 0.833314 1.656875 3.146328 5.991778
2025-09-14 0.077690 0.178635 0.382210 0.808233 1.655145 3.227201 6.304533
2025-09-21 0.068064 0.162585 0.359594 0.784457 1.652853 3.305666 6.617639
2025-09-28 0.060164 0.149130 0.340565 0.765539 1.657638 3.396733 6.960237
2025-10-05 0.056239 0.144122 0.338717 0.782048 1.735080 3.632964 7.599559
2025-10-12 0.054492 0.143976 0.347364 0.821808 1.864004 3.979900 8.481981
2025-10-19 0.051750 0.141022 0.349359 0.847043 1.964260 4.276722 9.285775
2025-10-26 0.048081 0.135221 0.344124 0.855351 2.028436 4.504350 9.964867
2025-11-02 0.044041 0.127864 0.334324 0.851957 2.066111 4.679052 10.545972
2025-11-09 0.039974 0.119827 0.321915 0.840998 2.085482 4.815980 11.056766
2025-11-16 0.036415 0.112637 0.310727 0.831705 2.107616 4.960109 11.592940